After the financial crisis of 2008, it was said by analysts and
academics with expertise in economics, that the old economic
certainties no longer held true - and that the only certainty was
uncertainty.
It is a dictum that still holds true - as can be seen in the Euroland
debt crisis, and the International Monetary Fund's (IMF) gloomy global
economic outlook.
It is because the old certainties no longer apply that an acquaintance and I
took it upon ourselves to listen to, and read, public
pronouncements on the economy by the New Patriotic Party's (NPP)
last-word in economics, Dr. Bawumia - from the time he was picked to be the
running mate of the party's presidential candidate, Nana Addo Danquah
Akufo-Addo, to date.
At this point in that tracking exercise, alas, l shall have to agree
with my acquaintance, who insists that Dr. Bawumia talks like a man who
forgets that the old certainties no longer apply. He is not impressed
by him at all, unfortunately.
There has been occasion when some of the members of his party have
mentioned the redenomination of the cedi, for example, as one of the
"achievements" of his time at the Bank of Ghana.
Well, I remember poking fun at President Kufuor, when he proudly
boasted that the new Ghana cedi had parity with the U.S. dollar - and
saying to my acquaintance that a new currency used in an economy with
the kind of structural imbalances ours was lumbered with, would soon
experience a crisis of confidence - and fall freely.
It was not long before Kufuor & Co. were raiding our foreign reserves for cash in hard currency to shore it up. Daft. Millions of dollars was spent in that exercise in futility. And I actually
had an interesting dream once, around that time, as it happens.
In it, I remember wondering to myself, what would have been the
outcome, if the bright sparks at the Bank of Ghana (where Bawumia was
serving as Deputy Governor, incidentally) had thought outside the box
- in an age of uncertainty - and instead of recommending
redomination and the issuance of a new currency, rather dared to
recommend the adoption of the U.S. dollar as a transition currency for
Ghana - or, better still, asked Kufuor & Co. to link the new
Ghana cedi with gold: and made our nation one on the gold standard
with a gold-backed Ghana cedi.
Would that not have been a sure-fire means of ensuring stable value
for money - with all its attendant benefits, I ask? Perhaps the question we must ask is: In a
nation with a political class not famous for imaginative thinking, will
adopting the gold standard and having a gold-backed Ghana cedi,
ever be possible in the Republic of Ghana?
Tel: 027 745 3109.
Email: peakofi.thompson@gmail.com
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