Wednesday, 1 May 2019

Bloomberg/Carroll, Chiglinsky, & Crowley: Bank of Buffett Drops $10 Billion Bomb Into Anadarko Battle

Bloomberg
Deals
Bank of Buffett Drops $10 Billion Bomb Into Anadarko Battle
By Joe Carroll
, Katherine Chiglinsky
, and Kevin Crowley
30 April 2019, 15:16 UTC
Updated on 30 April 2019, 20:23 UTC

    Billionaire’s backing of Occidental bid comes at premium price
    Anadarko board in midst of assessing competing takeover offers

What Buffett's Investment Means for Anadarko Battle
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Warren Buffett’s intervention in Occidental Petroleum Corp.’s $37 billion unsolicited bid for Anadarko Petroleum Corp. may tip the scales in the oil industry’s biggest bidding war in decades.

In a stunning escalation of the two-week-old contest for Anadarko, Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway Inc. on Tuesday disclosed plans to inject $10 billion into Occidental in exchange for preferred stock and warrants. The bombshell landed in the midst of Anadarko board deliberations about whether Occidental’s offer is superior to a lower but already agreed-to deal with Chevron Corp.

The arrangement was announced just two days after Occidental’s corporate jet flew to Buffett’s hometown of Omaha. It’s contingent on the deal for Anadarko closing and would be his biggest investment in more than three years aside from Apple Inc. It also answers the question about what to do with a swelling cash pile just ahead of Berkshire’s annual shareholder meeting this weekend.

Furthermore, the transaction is a major sign of approval for the future of the Permian Basin, the world’s largest oilfield, from an investor who has previously plowed dollars into oil refiners, drillers and Canada’s oil-sands.
Midas Touch

The Occidental transaction follows Buffett’s classic playbook: Getting above-market rates on a preferred stake and the upside of stock options in exchange for the Berkshire seal of approval and a big check. In the past he’s lent his reputation to banks facing doubts about their capitalization, and now he’s backing a proposed acquisition bid that’s facing questions over its legitimacy.

Buffett’s imprimatur is apparently valuable to Occidental Chief Executive Officer Vicki Hollub: The 8 percent that’ll be paid out on the preferred shares is more than twice the average coupon on Occidental’s debt.

Chevron stuck to its guns following Buffett’s move. “We believe our signed agreement with Anadarko provides the best value and the most certainty to Anadarko’s shareholders,” Chevron company spokesman Kent Robertson said in an email.

The California-based oil explorer’s cash-and-stock bid was valued at $31.5 billion, or $62.70 a share, as of 4 p.m. New York time. Anadarko was 0.1 percent lower at $72.85, a premium of about 16 percent to Chevron’s offer price.

    What Bloomberg Intelligence Says

    Berkshire Hathaway’s $10 billion preferred stock commitment tips support to Occidental’s Anadarko bid, but Chevron’s balance-sheet heft and ability to digest better-fitting assets still suggests to us Chevron can remain ahead if it ups its offer.
    --Vincent G. Piazza and Michael Kay, senior industry analysts
    Click here to view the research

Anadarko didn’t immediately responded to requests for comment.

The world’s fourth-richest individual is demanding a high price for his support, according to Leo Mariani, an analyst at KeyBanc Capital Markets. The preferred stock represents “rather expensive financing,” he said in a note to clients. The arrangement with the Oracle of Omaha also came as a surprise, Mariani added, given that Occidental previously said it already had lined up financing for the Anadarko deal.

But Buffett’s backing means that Occidental may avoid a shareholder vote, said David Katz, chief investment officer at Matrix Asset Advisors Inc., which manages $800 million including Occidental stock. "It seems like the CEO with the board’s support is going to do everything and anything to get the deal done."
Omaha Meeting

For Buffett, it shows he can still find unique opportunities in an environment where he’s bemoaned the high prices for most companies. His annual shareholder meeting this weekend in Omaha is certain to feature questions about how he’d invest Berkshire’s cash, and he’s started laying the groundwork to increase share buybacks, an option he’s historically shunned.
Related Stories:

    Buffett Backs Occidental’s Anadarko Bid With $10 Billion
    Occidental Plunges as Investors Count Cost of Buffett Deal
    Chevron Bid ‘Dead’ After Buffett Backs Occidental, Investor Says
    Matt Levine’s Money Stuff: Warren Buffett Funds an Elephant
    Buffett’s Seal of Approval Doesn’t Come Cheap: Tara Lachapelle
    Occidental Jet Flew to Omaha This Weekend, Flight Data Shows
    Anadarko Board Faces Scrutiny Amid $38 Billion Bidding War

While the deal isn’t the “elephant-sized acquisition” that Buffett said in February he was hoping for, it vaults Occidental into the top 10 of Berkshire’s public company holdings, among the likes of Apple Inc., American Express Co. and Kraft Heinz Co.

Berkshire didn’t have much exposure to oil in its $173 billion equity portfolio at year-end, though it did add a roughly $400 million stake in Canada’s Suncor Energy Inc. in the fourth quarter. The company is set to disclose its first-quarter stock purchases and sales next month.

    What Bloomberg Opinion Says
    The extra-sweet terms Berkshire secured from Occidental show how eager the oil company is to beat out rival bidder Chevron Corp. for Anadarko, which has assets in the prolific Permian Basin shale field that straddles Texas and New Mexico.
    --Tara Lachapelle, columnist
    Click here to view the column

Berkshire’s energy investments are mainly in renewables and power, but it also owns two natural gas transmission systems: Northern Natural Gas in the U.S. Midwest, and Kern River Gas Transmission in the West. Anadarko owns Western Gas Midstream Partners, which operates gas gathering and processing facilities in Texas, Pennsylvania and several western states.

— With assistance by Alex Nussbaum, Michael J Moore, Christine Buurma, and Rachel Adams-Heard
(Updates share prices in eighth paragraph.)

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