Tuesday 3 September 2019

Bloomberg/ David Malingha and Fred Ojambo: The Big Threat to Uganda’s President Is a 37-Year-Old Pop Star

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Economics

The Big Threat to Uganda’s President Is a 37-Year-Old Pop Star

Updated on
  • Bobi Wine has garnered a huge following among Uganda’s youth
  • Ugandan security forces may be readying clampdown on opponents
Kagulanyi Robert
Kagulanyi Robert Photographer: Joel Saget/AFP
His life has been threatened and he’s been charged with treason, but a Ugandan pop-star-turned-politician is on a mission to do what no one else has managed for more than 30 years: topple the president.
Robert Kyagulanyi, known by the stage name Bobi Wine, has emerged as the biggest threat to President Yoweri Museveni as a hugely popular figure among the majority of the nation’s people: the young, a third of whom are either unemployed or not receiving an education. His loose movement of supporters from across the political divide is proving to be a conundrum to Museveni, who’s had little trouble in the past routing traditional opposition parties.
“We know that people power is stronger than the people in power,” Kyagulanyi, 37, said in an interview at his home in the capital, Kampala. “We are not into this for formality. We are into this to change our country.”

After growing up in the slums of Kampala, Kyagulanyi headed to the nation’s premier university, Makerere, to earn a Bachelor of Arts degree. He gained prominence as a self-styled “ghetto president” singing about the plight of ordinary people and later won a seat in parliament.
Wearing his signature red beret, Kyagulanyi and his German Shepherd welcome guests into his home, about 15 kilometers (9.3 miles) from central Kampala. A manicured garden surrounds the house with palm trees along the walk and driveways. Guests including fellow musicians and lawmakers wait in a tent to meet with him.

Opposition Crackdown

Seated in a brown armchair with the words “People Power” emblazoned on the headrest, Kyagulanyi is straight-faced when asked why he thinks he can unseat Museveni, whom he compares to former Ugandan dictator Idi Amin and ex-Libyan leader Moammar Al Qaddafi.
“President Idi Amin declared himself life president, he did not die president,” he said. “Qaddafi was seemingly invincible. He did not die a president.”
Ugandan opposition candidate and activist Bobi Wine, aka Robert Kyagulanyi
Robert Kyagulanyi gives an interview at his home.
Photographer: Melanie Stetson Freeman/Christian Science Monitor via Getty Images
Museveni seized power in 1986, following years of political upheaval including Amin’s bloody dictatorship, and restored multiparty politics almost 15 years ago. But in recent years, advocacy groups like Amnesty International say he’s presided over a deterioration in the East African nation’s human-rights situation. Opposition leader Kizza Besigye has faced repeated arrest and beatings by the authorities in the run-up to elections over the past two decades.
As Uganda’s 2021 general election approaches, there are signs that Museveni may be preparing to intensify a clampdown on his opponents. The government raised its security budget 75% this year to almost $1 billion, to be spent on equipment and training.

‘Security for All’

State Minister for Internal Affairs Obiga Mario Kania said it’s not true that the government targets its opponents.
“Uganda secures all its citizens,” he said.
The authorities have arrested Kyagulanyi several times in the past year. He’s been charged with treason, after his supporters allegedly threw stones at Museveni’s convoy, inciting violence and disobeying lawful orders. Last year, Kyagulanyi received treatment in the U.S. for injuries he said were sustained while under arrest.
“President Museveni and his regime don’t see their strength in convincing people any more; they see their strength in coercing,” Kyagulanyi said Aug. 13. “Today is a year since the assassination attempt on my life. Since then many people have been arrested. Others have disappeared. Many have been killed.”
Traditionally an agriculture-dependent nation, Uganda is on the cusp of becoming an oil producer from fields owned by companies including Tullow Oil Plc, Total SA and China’s Cnooc Ltd. The start of output has been repeatedly delayed, and a final investment decision that had been expected in 2018 was postponed over different views on taxation between the government and the companies. Kyagulanyi blames Museveni for the hold-ups.

‘Contradictions, Scandals’

“Uganda’s slow move in the oil sector is not slow out of caution; we should have benefited from the oil yesterday,” he said. “The contradictions and scandals emanate from the fact the nation is under the control of one person. Literally it’s not the Ugandans that own Ugandan oil, but Museveni and his cabal.”
Under his rule, Kyagulanyi says he would ensure government institutions are put at the forefront of negotiating and managing the oil industry, along with other strategic national projects. He also envisages the government providing more support for commercial agriculture.
UGANDA-ART-MUSIC-POLITICS
Robert Kyagulanyi performs as ’Bobi Wine’ in Busabala in 2018.
Photographer: Isaac Kasamani/AFP/Getty Images
Any prospect of him winning the next election will require more robust policy proposals, along with possible alliances with other opposition leaders like Besigye, said Jared Jeffery, an analyst at Paarl, South Africa-based NKC Africa Economics.
“Kyagulanyi certainly knows how to put on a show,” Jeffery said. “We have argued previously that he still needs to formalize his People Power movement into a coherent organisation that stands for something more than deposing Mr. Museveni and has a roadmap to attaining it.”
Even if he succeeds in his quest to oust Museveni, Kyagulanyi could return to his artistic roots one day.
“Music is my first love and it will be the last, but this is a calling that I can’t say no to,” he said. “However, it will be more than a pleasure to go back and do what I used to love especially in a free Uganda. So as a former head of state, I will go back to the stage and will fire up the crowd.”
UP NEXT

Why Netflix’s 'American Factory' Has China Talking

economics

Why China’s Buzzing About Netflix’s Documentary ‘American Factory’

  • Internet users probe questions on unionization, work practices
  • Film discussed despite Netflix not being available in China
Chinese and American workers at the Fuyao factory in Dayton, Ohio.
Chinese and American workers at the Fuyao factory in Dayton, Ohio. Source: Netflix
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American Factory,” a new Netflix Inc. documentary about a Chinese-owned factory in Ohio isn’t being screened in China. But hundreds of thousands of people have seen it anyway, sparking a debate that delves into the relationship between the world’s two largest economies.
The 115-minute film was widely discussed on Chinese social networks and spawned dozens of reviews by influential bloggers and state media, prompting discussions on globalization, cultural differences, automation and workers’ rights. Netflix isn’t available in China, and a company spokesperson said there’s no legitimate way to watch it there.
The documentary, backed by Barack and Michelle Obama’s new production company, follows along as a shuttered General Motors plant outside Dayton is bought and converted into a factory run by China’s Fuyao Glass. The complexities of the issue are evident in the reactions it evoked in China, a mix of self-reflection and defensiveness as the trade war with the U.S. shows no sign of ending.
The U.S. levied another round of higher tariffs on Chinese goods on Sept. 1, and China retaliated.
relates to Why China’s Buzzing About Netflix’s Documentary ‘American Factory’
Employees fish on a day off.
Source: Netflix
The film starts out on an optimistic note, but the clash of working cultures -- especially over the question of unionization -- soon engulfs the factory. In the end, the union effort fails, and its Chinese managers start replacing workers with machines.
The clash between the American workers and their new Chinese managers in the film may be rooted in the different business models both countries favor, a blogger named Liu Run wrote in a post on popular messaging platform WeChat that was viewed more than 40,000 times. Fuyao’s management came across as callous in the film because its success hinged on minimizing costs, rather than investing in innovation, he said.
“If U.S. manufacturing is high-end, then China’s manufacturing, overall, is still about medium and low-end assembling,” he wrote. Automation can’t be the solution, Liu added, asking “if the U.S. and Germany boost automation, why would anyone come from far away to invest in China?”

Culture Clash

In multiple posts and comments, Chinese internet users who’d seen the film on streaming sites and through using virtual private networks dissected the differences between the American workers and their Chinese colleagues.
relates to Why China’s Buzzing About Netflix’s Documentary ‘American Factory’
Chinese workers during American culture training at Fuyao Glass America.
Source: Netflix
In the film, the former complain about long working hours and express concern about safety risks and environmental protection -- prompting them to attempt to form a union. Meanwhile, the Chinese work longer hours, pay little attention to safety and offer little push-back against their bosses’ demands.
“When unionization efforts failed, the Chinese workers seem to be even happier than the managers, do they have Stockholm Syndrome?” Joe Zhou, who works in the media industry, said on WeChat. “The answer might be complicated.”
In China, every company has a so-called worker’s union. These organizations aren’t directly involved in negotiating salaries and benefits, and their main purview is planning team-building activities and distributing gifts on holidays. In Fuyao’s case, the union is run by its chairman’s brother-in-law, who describes the union and the company as “two gears rotating together.”

State Media

Government-owned media framed the documentary squarely within China’s protracted trade spat with America, using it to bolster arguments that the U.S. needs Chinese investment to generate jobs and that an economic decoupling is untenable.
relates to Why China’s Buzzing About Netflix’s Documentary ‘American Factory’
Fuyao employees perform a musical number during the company’s annual dinner in Fuqing, Fujian province.
Source: Netflix
State broadcaster CCTV published an article on its social media platforms pointing out the crucial role Ohio played in President Donald Trump’s 2016 election victory, and that Trump once promised to bring more jobs to the state.
“However, GM closed another big plant in the state earlier this year,” CCTV wrote. “More ironically, trade tensions have led to a sharp drop of Chinese investment to the U.S., making ‘American factories’ like Fuyao’s one of the few important lifelines in the region.”
The documentary is playing a “positive role” in helping the two peoples understand each other, Xinhua News Agency wrote in a commentary. The countries still lack mutual understanding, and compared with the rhetoric of “decoupling” and a “clash of civilizations,” a film focusing on cooperation and communication between the U.S. and China is “timely, realistic and meaningful,” it wrote.
Ultimately, some viewers went away more conflicted than before.
“The feeling is very complicated. I still appreciate how diligent and organized our Chinese workers are, but on the other hand, I also feel empathy for the American workers who are asking for more rights and protection,” said 33-year-old Zhang Ming, who streamed the movie on a Chinese website where it was viewed more than 700,000 times.
“I don’t see an answer to these questions,” said Zhang. “Maybe eventually everyone will be replaced by automation.”
— With assistance by Miao Han, James Mayger, and Lucas Shaw

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